Saturday, June 16, 2007

Short Day

It was a pretty uneventful day, I stole the blinds on the first hand to get to 46K and then went down from there basically. Was down pretty low then pushbotted my way back up to 38K. Then a shortstack pushed in EP for 28.3K total at 1500/3000 a400 and I had 44 in the BB. According to math I'm getting 1.44:1 so I need to win just over 40% of the time for a call to be profitable. Live players usually push too tight here, but this was a youngish guy who I figured at least had some idea to push somewhat light, and against any reasonable range I usually win enough. He had A9o and turned a 9 to cripple me, and I busted within the next orbit. The CO said he folded AQ and even after the guy showed A9 he defended it was the right play.... Anyways some PokerStove numbers, against this tightish range calling is correct:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.724% 41.98% 00.74% 121479780 2153418.00 { 4c4d }
Hand 1: 57.276% 56.53% 00.74% 163592760 2153418.00 { 22+, A9s+, KQs, A9o+, KQo }

and he probably pushes a lot more unpaired hands in reality that I'm in good shape against, and at that stage in the tournament I definitely want to take any small edge I can get to get back to a playable stack. Oh well $3K Nl event tomorrow.

Oh yeah I finished 80th for $6100, guess that's kind of important information.

Mike

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Its tough to tell from the blogs. Are you having any fun there? Or is it a fking grind?

Wolffhound

Mike said...

I'm having fun for sure, poker is still fun so far! I am looking forward to doing somethin non-poker related though I've been pretty hardcore so far.